Waconia, MN
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Waconia is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk — lower risk than most US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Carver County, MN. The county's highest-rated hazards are strong wind, hail, and tornado.
Storm events near Waconia
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Waconia's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Waconia itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Carver County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Waconia along with the rest of the county, not a Waconia-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 39.3 | Very Low |
| Inland Flooding | 60.4 | Relatively Low |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 9 | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | 73.7 | Relatively Low |
| Tornado | 79.5 | Relatively Moderate |
| Avalanche | — | Not Applicable |
| Cold Wave | 73.8 | Relatively Moderate |
| Drought | 36.2 | Relatively Low |
| Hail | 85.6 | Relatively Moderate |
| Hurricane | — | Not Applicable |
| Ice Storm | 61.5 | Relatively Moderate |
| Landslide | 66.9 | Relatively Low |
| Lightning | 38.7 | Relatively Low |
| Strong Wind | 94.2 | Relatively High |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 49.7 | Relatively Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Carver County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
Other cities in Carver County:
More on Carver County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Waconia, MN at risk of?
Waconia is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — lower risk than most US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Carver County, where Waconia is located, are strong wind, hail, and tornado.
What is Waconia's biggest natural hazard risk?
Strong Wind is the highest-rated hazard for Carver County, where Waconia is located, scoring 94.2 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively High").
Is Waconia a high-risk area for natural disasters?
No — Waconia carries lower risk than most US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively Low" for Carver County.
Has Waconia had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 30 tornado, 226 hail, 21 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Waconia since 2016.