Tarpon Springs, FL
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Tarpon Springs is rated Relatively High for overall natural hazard risk — higher risk than most US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Pinellas County, FL. The county's highest-rated hazards are lightning, coastal flooding, and tornado.
Storm events near Tarpon Springs
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Tarpon Springs's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Tarpon Springs itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Pinellas County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Tarpon Springs along with the rest of the county, not a Tarpon Springs-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 81.1 | Relatively Low |
| Inland Flooding | 96.9 | Relatively High |
| Coastal Flooding | 99.2 | Very High |
| Earthquake | 66.9 | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | 95.5 | Relatively Moderate |
| Tornado | 99 | Very High |
| Avalanche | — | Not Applicable |
| Cold Wave | 98.8 | Very High |
| Drought | 20.6 | Very Low |
| Hail | 94.3 | Relatively High |
| Hurricane | 98.9 | Very High |
| Ice Storm | — | Not Applicable |
| Landslide | 17.6 | Very Low |
| Lightning | 99.8 | Very High |
| Strong Wind | 65.6 | Relatively Moderate |
| Tsunami | — | Insufficient Data |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 0 | No Rating |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Pinellas County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
Other cities in Pinellas County:
More on Pinellas County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Tarpon Springs, FL at risk of?
Tarpon Springs is rated Relatively High for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — higher risk than most US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Pinellas County, where Tarpon Springs is located, are lightning, coastal flooding, and tornado.
What is Tarpon Springs's biggest natural hazard risk?
Lightning is the highest-rated hazard for Pinellas County, where Tarpon Springs is located, scoring 99.8 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Very High").
Is Tarpon Springs a high-risk area for natural disasters?
Yes — Tarpon Springs carries higher risk than most US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively High" for Pinellas County.
Has Tarpon Springs had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 30 tornado, 8 hail, 24 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Tarpon Springs since 2016.