Prosper, TX
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Prosper is rated Relatively High for overall natural hazard risk — higher risk than most US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Collin County, TX. The county's highest-rated hazards are tornado, hail, and heat wave.
Storm events near Prosper
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Prosper's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Prosper itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Collin County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Prosper along with the rest of the county, not a Prosper-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 81 | Relatively Low |
| Inland Flooding | 96.8 | Relatively High |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 82 | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | 97.7 | Relatively High |
| Tornado | 99.9 | Very High |
| Avalanche | — | Not Applicable |
| Cold Wave | 95.7 | Relatively High |
| Drought | 32.4 | Relatively Low |
| Hail | 99.9 | Very High |
| Hurricane | 59.7 | Relatively Low |
| Ice Storm | 91.5 | Relatively High |
| Landslide | 52.6 | Very Low |
| Lightning | 67.7 | Relatively Moderate |
| Strong Wind | 87.7 | Relatively High |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 91.1 | Relatively High |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Collin County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
Other cities in Collin County:
More on Collin County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Prosper, TX at risk of?
Prosper is rated Relatively High for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — higher risk than most US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Collin County, where Prosper is located, are tornado, hail, and heat wave.
What is Prosper's biggest natural hazard risk?
Tornado is the highest-rated hazard for Collin County, where Prosper is located, scoring 99.9 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Very High").
Is Prosper a high-risk area for natural disasters?
Yes — Prosper carries higher risk than most US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively High" for Collin County.
Has Prosper had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 25 tornado, 672 hail, 123 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Prosper since 2016.