Prior Lake, MN
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Prior Lake is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk — lower risk than most US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Scott County, MN. The county's highest-rated hazards are strong wind, tornado, and hail.
Storm events near Prior Lake
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Prior Lake's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Prior Lake itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Scott County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Prior Lake along with the rest of the county, not a Prior Lake-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 52 | Very Low |
| Inland Flooding | 73 | Relatively Moderate |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 9.9 | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | 81.1 | Relatively Moderate |
| Tornado | 89 | Relatively Moderate |
| Avalanche | — | Not Applicable |
| Cold Wave | 81.3 | Relatively Moderate |
| Drought | 32.8 | Relatively Low |
| Hail | 88.8 | Relatively Moderate |
| Hurricane | — | Not Applicable |
| Ice Storm | 55.1 | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | 63.6 | Relatively Low |
| Lightning | 51.4 | Relatively Low |
| Strong Wind | 98.8 | Very High |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 64.4 | Relatively Moderate |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Scott County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
Other cities in Scott County:
More on Scott County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Prior Lake, MN at risk of?
Prior Lake is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — lower risk than most US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Scott County, where Prior Lake is located, are strong wind, tornado, and hail.
What is Prior Lake's biggest natural hazard risk?
Strong Wind is the highest-rated hazard for Scott County, where Prior Lake is located, scoring 98.8 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Very High").
Is Prior Lake a high-risk area for natural disasters?
No — Prior Lake carries lower risk than most US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively Low" for Scott County.
Has Prior Lake had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 31 tornado, 319 hail, 30 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Prior Lake since 2016.