Nogales, AZ
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Nogales is rated Relatively Moderate for overall natural hazard risk — near the middle compared to other US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Santa Cruz County, AZ. The county's highest-rated hazards are heat wave, wildfire, and lightning.
Storm events near Nogales
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Nogales's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Nogales itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Santa Cruz County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Nogales along with the rest of the county, not a Nogales-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 98.1 | Relatively High |
| Inland Flooding | 87.4 | Relatively Moderate |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 43.5 | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | 99 | Relatively High |
| Tornado | 8.7 | Very Low |
| Avalanche | 31 | Very Low |
| Cold Wave | 0 | No Rating |
| Drought | 54.5 | Relatively Low |
| Hail | 9.9 | Very Low |
| Hurricane | 17.3 | Very Low |
| Ice Storm | — | Not Applicable |
| Landslide | 69.1 | Relatively Low |
| Lightning | 88.4 | Relatively High |
| Strong Wind | 28.8 | Relatively Low |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 18.9 | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Santa Cruz County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
More on Santa Cruz County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Nogales, AZ at risk of?
Nogales is rated Relatively Moderate for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — near the middle compared to other US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Santa Cruz County, where Nogales is located, are heat wave, wildfire, and lightning.
What is Nogales's biggest natural hazard risk?
Heat Wave is the highest-rated hazard for Santa Cruz County, where Nogales is located, scoring 99 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively High").
Is Nogales a high-risk area for natural disasters?
Somewhat — Nogales carries near the middle compared to other US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively Moderate" for Santa Cruz County.
Has Nogales had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 11 hail, 27 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Nogales since 2016.