New Castle, PA
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
New Castle is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk — lower risk than most US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Lawrence County, PA. The county's highest-rated hazards are inland flooding, lightning, and landslide.
Storm events near New Castle
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of New Castle's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to New Castle itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Lawrence County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering New Castle along with the rest of the county, not a New Castle-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 27.3 | Very Low |
| Inland Flooding | 83.1 | Relatively Moderate |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 36.7 | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | 29.4 | Very Low |
| Tornado | 37.7 | Relatively Low |
| Avalanche | 13.6 | Very Low |
| Cold Wave | 16.4 | Very Low |
| Drought | 0 | No Rating |
| Hail | 49.7 | Relatively Low |
| Hurricane | 47.3 | Very Low |
| Ice Storm | 43.6 | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | 63.6 | Relatively Low |
| Lightning | 77.7 | Relatively Moderate |
| Strong Wind | 50.1 | Relatively Low |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 50.1 | Relatively Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Lawrence County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
More on Lawrence County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is New Castle, PA at risk of?
New Castle is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — lower risk than most US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Lawrence County, where New Castle is located, are inland flooding, lightning, and landslide.
What is New Castle's biggest natural hazard risk?
Inland Flooding is the highest-rated hazard for Lawrence County, where New Castle is located, scoring 83.1 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively Moderate").
Is New Castle a high-risk area for natural disasters?
No — New Castle carries lower risk than most US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively Low" for Lawrence County.
Has New Castle had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 21 tornado, 163 hail, 165 inland flooding events within 25 miles of New Castle since 2016.