Frederick, CO
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Frederick is rated Relatively Moderate for overall natural hazard risk — near the middle compared to other US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Weld County, CO. The county's highest-rated hazards are hail, cold wave, and tornado.
Storm events near Frederick
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Frederick's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Frederick itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Weld County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Frederick along with the rest of the county, not a Frederick-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 87.7 | Relatively Low |
| Inland Flooding | 88.5 | Relatively Moderate |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 77.8 | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | 60.1 | Relatively Low |
| Tornado | 95.1 | Relatively High |
| Avalanche | — | Not Applicable |
| Cold Wave | 96.3 | Relatively High |
| Drought | 38.1 | Relatively Low |
| Hail | 99 | Relatively High |
| Hurricane | — | Not Applicable |
| Ice Storm | 78.4 | Relatively Moderate |
| Landslide | 41.2 | Very Low |
| Lightning | 91.6 | Relatively High |
| Strong Wind | 95 | Relatively High |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | 61.2 | Very Low |
| Winter Weather | 93.6 | Relatively High |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Weld County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
Other cities in Weld County:
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Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Frederick, CO at risk of?
Frederick is rated Relatively Moderate for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — near the middle compared to other US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Weld County, where Frederick is located, are hail, cold wave, and tornado.
What is Frederick's biggest natural hazard risk?
Hail is the highest-rated hazard for Weld County, where Frederick is located, scoring 99 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively High").
Is Frederick a high-risk area for natural disasters?
Somewhat — Frederick carries near the middle compared to other US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively Moderate" for Weld County.
Has Frederick had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 13 tornado, 533 hail, 21 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Frederick since 2016.