Bolivar, MO
Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data
Bolivar is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk — lower risk than most US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Polk County, MO. The county's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, heat wave, and strong wind.
Storm events near Bolivar
NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Bolivar's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Bolivar itself, not the whole county.
County-wide hazard risk
Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Polk County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Bolivar along with the rest of the county, not a Bolivar-specific figure.
| Hazard | NRI score | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | 72.2 | Relatively Low |
| Inland Flooding | 57.9 | Relatively Low |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable |
| Earthquake | 63.6 | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | 81.8 | Relatively Moderate |
| Tornado | 73.5 | Relatively Moderate |
| Avalanche | — | Not Applicable |
| Cold Wave | 49.8 | Relatively Low |
| Drought | 65.6 | Relatively Moderate |
| Hail | 68.3 | Relatively Low |
| Hurricane | 24.1 | Very Low |
| Ice Storm | 86.6 | Relatively High |
| Landslide | 30.4 | Very Low |
| Lightning | 73.3 | Relatively Moderate |
| Strong Wind | 76.5 | Relatively Moderate |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable |
| Winter Weather | 71.2 | Relatively Moderate |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Polk County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.
More on Polk County:
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards is Bolivar, MO at risk of?
Bolivar is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — lower risk than most US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Polk County, where Bolivar is located, are ice storm, heat wave, and strong wind.
What is Bolivar's biggest natural hazard risk?
Ice Storm is the highest-rated hazard for Polk County, where Bolivar is located, scoring 86.6 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively High").
Is Bolivar a high-risk area for natural disasters?
No — Bolivar carries lower risk than most US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively Low" for Polk County.
Has Bolivar had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?
NOAA has recorded 24 tornado, 171 hail, 184 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Bolivar since 2016.