Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 450,296 · Cities: Waterbury , Bristol , Shelton , Naugatuck , Ansonia , Derby

Relatively Moderate Riskier than 93% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Naugatuck Valley Planning Region's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties. No federal disaster declarations are on record for this county.

Naugatuck Valley Planning Region's highest-rated hazards are inland flooding, hurricane, and ice storm, with its top risk rated "Relatively High" by FEMA's National Risk Index.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

No federal disaster declarations on record for Naugatuck Valley Planning Region as of September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 47.7 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively High 96.3 0 0
Coastal Flooding Very Low 42.2 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 86.1
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 80.7 8 0
Tornado Relatively Moderate 73.1 0 0
Hurricane Relatively High 95.1 0 0
Hail Relatively Low 54.4 0 0
Strong Wind Relatively High 89.1 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively High 88 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively High 94.4
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 72.1
Lightning Relatively High 86.1 0 0
Drought Relatively Low 50.2 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 86.8 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Insufficient Data
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Naugatuck Valley Planning Region ranks in the 56th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 56th Moderate
Socioeconomic status 48th Low
Household characteristics 57th Moderate
Racial & ethnic minority status 76th High
Housing type & transportation 51st Moderate

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 27th Relatively Low
Risk to homes 28th Relatively Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 44.3%

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Naugatuck Valley Planning Region with other counties → All Connecticut counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut are inland flooding, hurricane, and ice storm. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Moderate — near the middle compared to other US counties.

How does Naugatuck Valley Planning Region's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Capitol Planning Region, CT has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT has the lowest (Relatively Low). Naugatuck Valley Planning Region is rated Relatively Moderate overall.

How is Naugatuck Valley Planning Region's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Naugatuck Valley Planning Region's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Naugatuck Valley Planning Region's composite score of 93 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 93% of US counties.

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