Morgan County, UT
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Morgan County has experienced 10 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Rocky Canyon Fire in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Morgan County's highest-rated hazards are landslide, wildfire, and winter weather, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Community vulnerability is relatively low (0th percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Morgan County has been designated in 10 declarations since 1977, covering 6 disaster types including flood (4), biological (2), fire (1).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Fire | Rocky Canyon Fire |
| 2024 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2021 | Severe Storm | Straight-Line Winds |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2011 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2005 | Coastal Storm | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 1986 | Flood | Heavy Rains, Snowmelt & Flooding |
| 1983 | Flood | Severe Storms, Landslides & Flooding |
| 1977 | Drought | Drought |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 84.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Very Low | 10.7 | 1 | 0 | $5K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 32.9 | 5 | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 2.1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 11 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | 74.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 3 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 4.7 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 23.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Very Low | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | 90.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Relatively Low | 71.3 | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 15.6 | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Morgan County ranks in the 0th percentile (Very low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0th | Very low |
| Socioeconomic status | 0th | Very low |
| Household characteristics | 1st | Very low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 14th | Very low |
| Housing type & transportation | 0th | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 91st | Very High |
| Risk to homes | 94th | Very High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 62.7% | — |
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Morgan County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Morgan County, Utah are landslide, wildfire, and winter weather. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Very Low — among the lowest-risk counties in the country.
Has Morgan County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Morgan County has received 10 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is flood (4 declarations).
Has Morgan County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Morgan County include Rocky Canyon Fire (2026), Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1977.
How does Morgan County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Salt Lake County, UT has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Rich County, UT has the lowest (Very Low). Morgan County is rated Very Low overall.
How is Morgan County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Morgan County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Morgan County's composite score of 4 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 4% of US counties.