Lincoln County, WY
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Lincoln County has experienced 5 federally declared disasters since 1977, most recently Covid-19 in 2020. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Lincoln County's highest-rated hazards are avalanche, landslide, and earthquake, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Community vulnerability is relatively low (12th percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Lincoln County has been designated in 5 declarations since 1977, covering 4 disaster types including biological (2), severe storm (1), drought (1).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2011 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Flooding, And Landslides |
| 2002 | Fire | Wy - Commissary Ridge Fire - 08/31/02 |
| 1977 | Drought | Drought |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 83.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 35.5 | 9 | 0 | $225K |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 87.8 | 2 | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Very Low | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 12.1 | 5 | 0 | — |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively High | 87.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 12.1 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 15.4 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 71.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | Very Low | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | 95.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Very High | 98.7 | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 41.7 | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Lincoln County ranks in the 12th percentile (Very low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12th | Very low |
| Socioeconomic status | 10th | Very low |
| Household characteristics | 29th | Low |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 23rd | Very low |
| Housing type & transportation | 20th | Very low |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 68th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 72nd | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 78.5% | — |
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Lincoln County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Lincoln County, Wyoming are avalanche, landslide, and earthquake. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Has Lincoln County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Lincoln County has received 5 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including declarations in 2020. The most common disaster type on record is biological (2 declarations).
Has Lincoln County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
No federal disaster declarations have been recorded for Lincoln County since the start of 2024. Its most recent declaration on record is Covid-19 in 2020.
How does Lincoln County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Cache County, UT has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Rich County, UT has the lowest (Very Low). Lincoln County is rated Relatively Low overall.
How is Lincoln County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Lincoln County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Lincoln County's composite score of 52 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 52% of US counties.