Johnson County, KS

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 609,569 · Cities: Overland Park , Olathe , Shawnee , Lenexa , Leawood , Gardner , Prairie Village , Merriam

Relatively High Riskier than 95% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Johnson County has experienced 12 federally declared disasters since 1969, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2024. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.

Johnson County's highest-rated hazards are winter weather, tornado, and hail, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 19% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is relatively low (6th percentile nationally), indicating stronger recovery capacity than most US counties.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Johnson County has been designated in 12 declarations since 1969, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (5), biological (2), flood (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2024 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2018 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2008 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storms
2005 Hurricane Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
2002 Severe Ice Storm Severe Winter Ice Storm
1999 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Flooding And Tornadoes
1999 Severe Storm Ks-Flooding 10/31/98
1993 Flood Severe Storms & Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 12 total declarations since 1969.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Very Low 61.2 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively High 94.9 20 0 $10K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Relatively Low 75.7
Heat Wave Relatively High 98.4 1 0
Tornado Very High 98.9 7 0 $100K
Hurricane No Rating 0 0 0
Hail Relatively High 98.9 202 0
Strong Wind Relatively Low 47.1 0 0
Winter Weather Very High 100 0 0
Ice Storm Very High 98.7
Cold Wave Relatively High 98
Lightning Very High 98.4 1 0 $100K
Drought Very Low 24.9 0 0
Landslide Relatively Low 69 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Johnson County ranks in the 6th percentile (Very low) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 6th Very low
Socioeconomic status 4th Very low
Household characteristics 20th Very low
Racial & ethnic minority status 55th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 8th Very low

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 36th Relatively Low
Risk to homes 35th Relatively Low
Buildings in direct exposure zone 19.7%

NOAA tracked 205 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 113 in 2016–20 vs 92 in 2021–25 (-19% — frequency decreasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Johnson County with other counties → All Kansas counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Johnson County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Johnson County, Kansas are winter weather, tornado, and hail. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively High — higher risk than most US counties.

Has Johnson County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Johnson County has received 12 federal disaster declarations since 1969, including declarations in 2024. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (5 declarations).

Has Johnson County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Johnson County include Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1969.

How does Johnson County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Jackson County, MO has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Miami County, KS has the lowest (Relatively Low). Johnson County is rated Relatively High overall.

How is Johnson County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Johnson County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Johnson County's composite score of 95 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 95% of US counties.

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