Fulton County, AR
FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data
Fulton County has experienced 28 federally declared disasters since 1969, most recently Severe Winter Storm in 2026. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Fulton County's highest-rated hazards are ice storm, earthquake, and landslide, with its top risk rated "Very High" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have increased 17% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period.
Past disasters & FEMA designations
A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Fulton County has been designated in 28 declarations since 1969, covering 8 disaster types including severe storm (12), flood (5), severe ice storm (4).
| Year | Type | Event name |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2025 | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2024 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding |
| 2020 | Hurricane | Hurricane Laura |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2017 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding |
| 2014 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2014 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms,Tornadoes, And Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 28 total declarations since 1969.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.
Risk by hazard type
| Hazard | Risk rating | Risk score | Recorded events | Deaths | Prop. damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Very Low | 56 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Inland Flooding | Relatively Low | 45.6 | 10 | 0 | — |
| Coastal Flooding | Not Applicable | — | 0 | 0 | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 76.3 | — | — | — |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 66.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 64.8 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 32.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 12.3 | 15 | 0 | $10K |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 52.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | 49.4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Ice Storm | Very High | 99.3 | — | — | — |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | 62.9 | — | — | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 48.3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drought | No Rating | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 70 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic Activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.
Community vulnerability
Fulton County ranks in the 65th percentile (Moderate) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.
| SVI theme | Percentile | Vulnerability level |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 65th | Moderate |
| Socioeconomic status | 72nd | Moderate |
| Household characteristics | 70th | Moderate |
| Racial & ethnic minority status | 16th | Very low |
| Housing type & transportation | 63rd | Moderate |
Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.
Future risk outlook
| Wildfire metric | National percentile | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Burn probability | 74th | Relatively High |
| Risk to homes | 69th | Relatively High |
| Buildings in direct exposure zone | 93.9% | — |
NOAA tracked 26 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 12 in 2016–20 vs 14 in 2021–25 (+17% — frequency increasing).
Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.
Nearby counties
Frequently asked questions
What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Fulton County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Fulton County, Arkansas are ice storm, earthquake, and landslide. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.
Has Fulton County received federal disaster declarations?
Yes. Fulton County has received 28 federal disaster declarations since 1969, including declarations in 2026. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (12 declarations).
Has Fulton County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Fulton County include Severe Winter Storm (2026), Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025), Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025), Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2024). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1969.
How does Fulton County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?
Among neighboring counties, Howell County, MO has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively Low) and Ozark County, MO has the lowest (Very Low). Fulton County is rated Relatively Low overall.
How is Fulton County's composite disaster risk index calculated?
Fulton County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Fulton County's composite score of 51 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 51% of US counties.