Cowley County, KS

FEMA National Risk Index scores, disaster declarations & hazard data

Population: 34,541 · Cities: Arkansas City , Winfield

Relatively Low Riskier than 69% of US counties
Very Low Relatively Low Relatively Moderate Relatively High Very High

Cowley County has experienced 26 federally declared disasters since 1973, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding in 2025. Its overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Cowley County's highest-rated hazards are wildfire, tornado, and ice storm, with its top risk rated "Relatively Moderate" by FEMA's National Risk Index. Recorded storm events have decreased 58% over the past five years compared to the prior five-year period. Community vulnerability is elevated (79th percentile nationally), suggesting residents may face greater difficulty recovering from major disasters.

Past disasters & FEMA designations

A federal disaster declaration officially designates a county for FEMA disaster assistance. Cowley County has been designated in 26 declarations since 1973, covering 6 disaster types including severe storm (18), flood (3), biological (2).

2002–2026
Year Type Event name
2025 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2020 Biological Covid-19 Pandemic
2020 Biological Covid-19
2019 Severe Storm Tornadoes And Flooding
2019 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding,Landslides,And Mudslides
2019 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2017 Severe Storm Severe Storms And Flooding
2015 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding
2014 Severe Storm Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
2010 Severe Storm Severe Winter Storms And Snowstorm

Showing the 10 most recent of 26 total declarations since 1973.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries. A single disaster can produce more than one record per county. Data current through September 2026.

Risk by hazard type

Hazard Risk rating Risk score Recorded events Deaths Prop. damage
Wildfire Relatively Moderate 91.6 0 0
Inland Flooding Relatively Low 56.3 17 0 $31K
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable 0 0
Earthquake Very Low 40.4
Heat Wave Relatively Low 78.5 1 0
Tornado Relatively High 91 18 0 $45K
Hurricane Very Low 21 0 0
Hail Relatively Moderate 80.9 129 0
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate 83.4 0 0
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate 66.5 0 0
Ice Storm Relatively High 86.4
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate 86
Lightning Relatively Low 42.4 1 0
Drought Relatively Moderate 64.4 0 0
Landslide Very Low 57.3 0 0
Avalanche Not Applicable
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable

Scores are 0–100 percentiles relative to all US counties — higher means more exposed, not that a disaster is likely this year. Event counts: NOAA Storm Events 2016–2026; earthquake counts from USGS ComCat (M3.0+, 1996–2026). See the methodology page for details.

Community vulnerability

Cowley County ranks in the 79th percentile (High) for community vulnerability — a measure of how hard disaster impacts tend to hit residents. Higher vulnerability means more displacement, worse health outcomes, and slower recovery after a disaster.

SVI theme Percentile Vulnerability level
Overall 79th High
Socioeconomic status 54th Moderate
Household characteristics 94th High
Racial & ethnic minority status 56th Moderate
Housing type & transportation 82nd High

Source: CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022. Percentiles compare counties nationally — higher means more vulnerable relative to other counties. See CDC SVI for full methodology.

Future risk outlook

Wildfire metric National percentile Level
Burn probability 87th Very High
Risk to homes 91st Very High
Buildings in direct exposure zone 47.2%

NOAA tracked 165 weather events in this county over 2016–2025: 116 in 2016–20 vs 49 in 2021–25 (-58% — frequency decreasing).

Wildfire: USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities (RDS-2020-0016-2) — modeled values, not annual forecasts. See wildfirerisk.org. Inland flood and heat projections pending data availability; coastal sea-level projections are available for select coastal counties below — see the data page.

Nearby counties

Compare Cowley County with other counties → All Kansas counties →

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards pose the greatest risk in Cowley County?

According to the FEMA National Risk Index, the highest-risk hazards in Cowley County, Kansas are wildfire, tornado, and ice storm. The county's overall natural hazard risk is rated Relatively Low — lower risk than most US counties.

Has Cowley County received federal disaster declarations?

Yes. Cowley County has received 26 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including declarations in 2025. The most common disaster type on record is severe storm (18 declarations).

Has Cowley County had any FEMA disaster declarations in 2024, 2025, or 2026?

Yes. Recent federal disaster declarations for Cowley County include Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (2025). See the declarations table above for the full history since 1973.

How does Cowley County's natural hazard risk compare to nearby counties?

Among neighboring counties, Sedgwick County, KS has the highest overall natural hazard risk (Relatively High) and Chautauqua County, KS has the lowest (Very Low). Cowley County is rated Relatively Low overall.

How is Cowley County's composite disaster risk index calculated?

Cowley County's composite disaster risk index — officially FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) — scores every US county on a 0–100 percentile scale across 18 natural hazard types, factoring in expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Cowley County's composite score of 69 means its overall natural hazard risk is higher than 69% of US counties.

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