Hereford, TX

Local storm history & FEMA National Risk Index data

Population: 14,860 · Part of Deaf Smith County

Hereford is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk — lower risk than most US counties — based on FEMA's National Risk Index for Deaf Smith County, TX. The county's highest-rated hazards are drought, hail, and winter weather.

Storm events near Hereford

NOAA-recorded tornado, hail, and flood events within 25 miles of Hereford's center, 2016–2026 — the only hazards NOAA reports with exact coordinates, so these counts are specific to Hereford itself, not the whole county.

Tornado 14 events
Hail 142 events
Inland Flooding 15 events

County-wide hazard risk

Every other hazard FEMA and NOAA track — including drought — is only scored at the county level. These are Deaf Smith County's FEMA National Risk Index scores, covering Hereford along with the rest of the county, not a Hereford-specific figure.

Hazard NRI score Rating
Wildfire 85.8 Relatively Low
Inland Flooding 13.1 Very Low
Coastal Flooding Not Applicable
Earthquake 38.8 Very Low
Heat Wave 26.2 Very Low
Tornado 69.7 Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Not Applicable
Cold Wave 86.5 Relatively Moderate
Drought 98.1 Relatively High
Hail 97.4 Relatively High
Hurricane 0 No Rating
Ice Storm 20.9 Very Low
Landslide 2.6 Very Low
Lightning 33.4 Relatively Low
Strong Wind 85 Relatively High
Tsunami Not Applicable
Volcanic Activity Not Applicable
Winter Weather 91.7 Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0, December 2025. See the methodology page for definitions, or the full Deaf Smith County risk profile for disaster declarations, social vulnerability, and climate projection data.

More on Deaf Smith County:

Frequently asked questions

What natural hazards is Hereford, TX at risk of?

Hereford is rated Relatively Low for overall natural hazard risk by FEMA's National Risk Index — lower risk than most US counties. The highest-rated hazards for Deaf Smith County, where Hereford is located, are drought, hail, and winter weather.

What is Hereford's biggest natural hazard risk?

Drought is the highest-rated hazard for Deaf Smith County, where Hereford is located, scoring 98.1 out of 100 on FEMA's National Risk Index (rated "Relatively High").

Is Hereford a high-risk area for natural disasters?

No — Hereford carries lower risk than most US counties for overall natural hazard risk, per FEMA's National Risk Index rating of "Relatively Low" for Deaf Smith County.

Has Hereford had tornadoes, hail, or flooding?

NOAA has recorded 14 tornado, 142 hail, 15 inland flooding events within 25 miles of Hereford since 2016.